Stable Tape Daily Tape

Daily Tape: 2026-07-04

Canonical 12:00 UTC cutoff. This permalink is rendered from the frozen Daily Tape record for the date shown — its Stablecoin Signal, evidence line, and figures — and is a shareable, citable record.

Stablecoin Signal Offsetting flow
Stablecoin supply was nearly flat after $1.04B of offsetting moves

Frozen at 12:00 UTC on 2026-07-04. This record does not change. Selected by fixed public rules, not by an editor or AI — a market observation, not a trading signal.

$540M expanded · $502M contracted · +$37.7M net

Why this Signal? Offsetting movement — Net supply barely moved, but large opposing issuer movements offset — gross flow of $1.04B against a $37.7M net change.

It was the highest-priority eligible Signal under the published rules.

How the Signal is selected →

How this Signal was selected

Stored selection rules v2

Winning family: Offsetting movement. This was the highest-priority eligible Signal for the record.

  1. 1Record validityOnly a complete canonical Daily Tape record can produce a market Signal.
  2. 2DDD benchmark or milestoneA material DDD move, rounded 1-in-N milestone, or genuinely denominator-driven M2 update.
  3. 3Archive extremeThe largest same-direction daily move in a sufficiently deep canonical archive.
  4. 4Sequence reversalA material move reverses or interrupts the immediately preceding run in the other direction.
  5. 5Weekly extremeThe largest daily move in the latest complete seven-record window.
  6. 6Large daily movementA net daily supply move clears the published large-movement floor.
  7. 7Multi-day streakSupply keeps moving in the same direction across contiguous canonical days.
  8. 8Weekly supply trendThe seven-record supply level continues a material directional trend.
  9. 9Quiet market with weekly contextA quiet day is placed in the context of the complete seven-record trend.
  10. 10Issuer or chain trendA clean endpoint-confirmed issuer or chain move explains the weekly change.
  11. 11Offsetting movementLarge opposing supply changes leave the net daily move close to flat.Selected for this record
  12. 12Broad issuer movementMovement is broad across major issuers rather than concentrated in one name.
  13. 13Quiet readingSupply remains inside the published flat threshold after stronger families are tested.
  14. 14Net supply movementThe plain directional daily movement when no more specific family is eligible.

Stable Tape tests each canonical record against these published families in order. Eligibility includes materiality, repetition, attribution and data-quality guards. View exact thresholds and wording rules →

  • DDD DDD held at 1.35%, equivalent to 1 in 74 U.S. dollars.
  • Supply Expansion and contraction nearly offset.
  • Issuer No dominant issuer driver.
  • Chain No dominant chain driver.
DDD benchmark
1.35%
1 in 74 U.S. dollars
Net supply movement
+$37.7M
Supply expanded over the frozen Daily Tape window.
Expanded
$539.7M
Observed supply expansion
Contracted
$502.1M
Observed supply contraction

Signal wording uses rounded figures; the tables above show the exact frozen values.

Selection rules v2 · changes apply only to future records

Benchmark

DDD: 1.35% · equivalent to 1 in 74 U.S. dollars
Share of U.S. M2
1.35%
M2 as of: 2026-05-01

Source basis

Stablecoin supply
$310.29B
Source: DeFiLlama
M2 used
$23.05T
Source: FRED M2SL

Movement totals

Net movement
+$37.7M
Expanded
$539.7M
Contracted
$502.1M

Top moves

Top expansionUSDT · Tether (+$124.0M)
Top contractionUSDC · Circle (-$218.8M)

Drivers

Issuer driverCircle (-$218.8M)
Chain driverSolana (-$260.4M)
Currency driverUS Dollar (+$35.8M)

Snapshot basis

Current snapshot2026-07-04T12:31:24.567Z
Previous snapshot2026-07-03T12:44:54.010Z
Provenanceowned-snapshots
Record hash (SHA-256)092f373bc044e2ff…

Citation

Stable Tape Daily Record, 2026-07-04: DDD was 1 in 74 dollars, based on $310.29B USD stablecoin supply and $23.05T U.S. M2 as of 2026-05-01. Source: DeFiLlama (stablecoin supply) + FRED M2SL (U.S. M2). https://stabletape.com/tape/2026-07-04

Methodology

DDD = USD stablecoin supply ÷ U.S. M2. Numerator: total USD-denominated stablecoin supply (source: DeFiLlama). Denominator: U.S. M2 money stock, seasonally adjusted (source: FRED M2SL), typically lagged 4–6 weeks from the record date.

Each record is frozen at the 12:00 UTC cutoff and never recomputed from live data. This permalink always serves the frozen record values and its own dated share card and social preview. The live /tape page collects until the next cutoff.